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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil

Public Sector Debt ยท 2026

Total Debt

83.5%

of GDP

Global Rank

#43

of 192

Interest Burden

21%

of govt revenue

S&P Rating

BB

Credit rating

SOE Debt

+4.4%

2 categories

5yr Change

-6pp

improving

Interest Cost

8.3%

of GDP (govt only)

Where the Debt Sits

Central Government
Central Government: 72.7%Subnational: 6.4%Dev Banks: 1.3%Energy SOEs: 3.1%

Who Holds This Debt

Holder Breakdown

Domestic 90%
Domestic: 90%Foreign: 10%

Currency Denomination

Local 95%
Local currency: 95%Foreign currency: 5%

Full Debt Breakdown

Central Government72.7% of GDP
LFTs (floating-rate, Selic-linked)BCB โ€” Gross General Government Debt48% share. Low duration risk. Dominant instrument.
35.1%
NTN-Bs (inflation-linked, IPCA)BCB โ€” Gross General Government Debt26% share. Pension fund favorite.
18.8%
LTNs & NTN-Fs (fixed-rate)BCB โ€” Gross General Government Debt22% share. Highest interest rate risk.
16.0%
FX-linked & ExternalBCB โ€” Gross General Government DebtOnly 3.8%. Reduced since 2000s crises.
2.8%
Subnational / Regional6.4% of GDP
SubnationalBCB โ€” Gross General Government Debt
6.4%
Energy SOEs3.1% of GDP
PetrobrasPetrobras 2024 Annual ReportNet debt $59.1B. Gross debt $61.8B. Leverage ratio 0.72x.
2.5%
EletrobrasEletrobras Q3 2024 earningsNet debt R$53.6B (~$12B). Partially privatized 2022 but govt retains golden share.
0.6%
Development Banks1.3% of GDP
BNDESBNDES IR 2025Balance sheet assets R$885B. Outstanding credit R$554B. Key SOE lender.
1.3%
Total Corporate Debt53.9% of GDP
Nonfinancial corporate debt (total)BIS Credit Statistics Q3 2025Petrobras ~4.5% GDP. Eletrobras privatized 2022.
53.9%
Household Debt36.7% of GDP
Household debtBIS Credit Statistics Q3 2025Moderate. High interest rates limit borrowing.
36.7%
Unfunded Pension Liabilities200.0% of GDP
RGPS + RPPS + military pension unfundedWorld Bank 2024; IMF Equitable Pensions Ch.20Combined spending ~13% GDP. One of highest in world for demographics.
200.0%
State Bank Liabilities2.6% of GDP
Caixa Economica FederalCaixa 2024 Annual ResultsLargest state bank. R$1.19T in housing credit. Total assets R$2.87T.
2.6%
All Layers Total376.7%

Credit Ratings

S&P

BB

Moody's

Ba1

Fitch

BB

Data Sources

BCB โ€” Net Public Sector DebtSource โ†’public_sector ยท Updated monthly
BCB โ€” Gross General Government Debtgeneral_government ยท Updated monthly
Feb 202679.2% GDP

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